Saturday 6 October 2007


1.5 -2.0 million Iraq excess deaths; 8 million Bush I & II Asian Holocaust deaths

Posted by Dr Gideon Polya on MEDIALENS, October 5, 2007.

Media Lens has very properly noted huge discrepancies between the 75,000-81,000 post-invasion, Media-reported Iraqi civilian VIOLENT DEATHS reported by Iraq Body Count and the 0.8-1.2 million VIOLENT deaths reported by World's top medical epidemiologists at Johns Hopkins and Columbia (US) and a top UK polling company ORB.

This matter is acutely serious because Mainstream media and politicians are MIS-using the "81,000" figure as an estimate of total post-invasion Iraqi excess deaths. Independent authoritative estimates put the total VIOLENT Iraqi excess deaths at 0.8-1.2 million and the total NON-VIOLENT Iraqi deaths (from war criminal Occupier non-provision of life-sustaining requisites ) at 0.7 - 0.8 million for a TOTAL of 1.5-2.0 million post-invasion Iraqi excess deaths. requisites).

The top UK market research company ORB has recently reported 1.2 million post-invasion VIOLENT DEATHS in Occupied Iraq, this being consonant with an estimate of 0.8 million VIOLENT DEATHS (as of October 2007) from top American medical epidemiologists from Johns Hopkins and Columbia, published in the top medical journal The Lancet and endorsed in a public letter by 27 top Australian medical experts.

However UN agency data also indicate 0.7-0.8 million NON-VIOLENT post-invasion Iraqi excess deaths yielding a total death toll of 1.5-2.0 million post-invasion excess deaths - vastly greater than the "Iraq Body Count" estimate (currently of circa 80,000 MEDIA REPORTED VIOLENT DEATHS) that is INCORRECTLY used by Mainstream media, Bush-ite politicians, and neo-Bush-ite politicians such as Australia’s extreme right wing Opposition Labor leader Kevin Rudd (aka Religious Right Rudd, R3 ) as a measure of Iraqi civilian deaths.

The bottom-line quantitative measure of the human cost of human actions is EXCESS MORTALITY (avoidable mortality, avoidable death, excess death, excess mortality, deaths that did not have to happen but DID as a result of human ACTION or indeed INACTION) (see “Global avoidable mortality”: http://globalavoidablemortality.blogspot.com/ ). I have just published a huge, scholarly book on this subject: "Body Count. Global avoidable mortality since 1950", G.M. Polya. Melbourne, 2007: http://globalbodycount.blogspot.com/ and http://mwcnews.net/content/view/1375/247/ ).

Post-invasion excess deaths in Occupied Iraq include VIOLENT DEATHS estimated to be 0.8 million (world’s top medical epidemiologists published in The Lancet) to 1.2 million (the recent estimate of the top UK ORB market analysis and polling organization).

The post-invasion NON-VIOLENT DEATHS total 0.7 million (as estimated from UN Population Division data) to 0.8 million (as estimated from UNICEF under-5 infant mortality data as per “Layperson’s Guide to Counting Iraq Deaths”: http://mwcnews.net/content/view/5872/26/ ). The TOTAL post-invasion excess deaths amount to 1.5 million to 2.0 million (see “Iraq: Genocide by all Definition. Bush’s Iraq war. 2 million excess deaths”: http://mwcnews.net/content/view/17066/42/ ).

Use of the Iraq Body Count estimate of “81,000 deaths” for post-invasion Iraqi civilians deaths (e.g. by, of all people, Anti-war.com: http://antiwar.com/casualties/ ) is instantly discredited by a simple inspection of the UNICEF website (see: http://www.unicef.org/infobycountry/index.html ) that indicates 122,000 under-5 year old Iraqi infant deaths ANNUALLY - 90% avoidable and due to Occupier war crimes, specifically the non-provision of life-sustaining requisites unequivocally demanded of Occupiers by the Geneva Convention.

The Iraq Body Count estimate of (currently) “81,000” Iraqi deaths (mis-used by Mainstream media and by extreme right-wing Bush-ite and neo-Bush-ite politicians AND by Anti-war.com) (a) IGNORES NON-VIOLENT DEATHS, (b) is about 7-10% of the independent estimates of the world’s top medical epidemiologists and a top UK polling company and (c) its reliance on media reports and releases is notoriously unreliable as testified by world’s experts on the matter e.g. Professors Burnham (Johns Hopkins) and Roberts (Columbia) (see: http://www.countercurrents.org/burnham230907.htm and http://members5.boardhost.com/medialens/msg/1190468011.html ):
QUOTE: “News report tallies suggest some 75,000 Iraqis have died since the US-led invasion. A study of 13 war affected countries presented at a recent Harvard conference found over 80% of violent deaths in conflicts go unreported by the press and governments.”

IT GETS WORSE. The total death toll in the Bush I & II Asian Wars (Iraq, Afghanistan, Palestine, Lebanon) now totals 8 million (EIGHT MILLION as summarized below (for a detailed and documented breakdown see “United State Terrorism. 8 million Deaths & Media Holocaust Denial: http://mwcnews.net/content/view/17139/42/ ):

1. US-backed Apartheid Israeli occupation of Lebanon (much of the 1978-2006 period) [0.07 million] – 1978-2000 excess deaths in Lebanon totalled 60,000; about 10,000 violent killings by Israelis or Israeli surrogates occurred in the period 1978-2006.

2. US-backed Apartheid Israeli occupation of the West Bank and Gaza (1967-2007) [0.31 million] – 1957-2007 excess deaths in the Occupied Palestinian Territory totalled about 0.3 million; about 10,000 Palestinians were violently killed (5,000 in the 2000-2007 Second Intifada period alone).

3. US Gulf War (1990-1991) [0.2 million] – an estimated 0.2 million violent Iraqi deaths due to the Bush I Gulf War.

4. US Sanctions War (1990-2003) [1.7 million] – an estimated 1.7 million Iraqi excess deaths occurred in the period 1990-2003 under the Bush I-Clinton I-Bush II Sanctions; the number of under-5 infant deaths in this period totalled 1.2 million (roughly 90% of these deaths were avoidable).

5. US Afghanistan War (2001-2007) [3.2 million] - excess deaths from UN Population Division data total 2.5 million; however excess deaths determined from under-5 infant deaths and dividing by 0.7 total 3.2 million (see “Layperson’s Guide to Counting Iraq Deaths” on MWC News: http://mwcnews.net/content/view/5872/26/ ).

6. US Iraq War (2003-2007) [2.0 million] – 1.2 million post-invasion violent deaths (from the latest UK ORB survey) plus 0.8 million post-invasion non-violent excess deaths (from UNICEFunder-5 year old infant mortality data; see #5 above).

7. Global opiate drug-related deaths due to US actions [0.5 million] - 0.1 million people die each year around the world (0.6 million over 6 years) from opiate drug-related causes. Accordingly, about 0.5 million have died avoidably since 9/11 from opiate drug-related causes due to the UK-US restoration of the Taliban-destroyed Afghan opium industry from about 5% of world market share in 2001 to a current 93% (see UN Office on Drugs and Crime, UNODC, 2007 World Drug Report).

We can thus assess the human cost of the Bush I and Bush II Asian Wars at 0.06 + 0.31 + 0.2 + 1.7 + 3.2 + 2.0 + 0.5 million = 8 million.

A major contributor to the carnage in Occupied Palestine, Occupied Iraq and Occupied Afghanistan is the war criminal failure of the Occupiers to supply life-sustaining requisites as demanded unequivocally by the Geneva Convention Relative to the Protection of Civilian Persons in Time of War. Thus, according the World Health Organization (WHO), the “annual total per capita medical expenditure” permitted in Occupied Iraq by the US Coalition is $135 (2004) as compared to $19 (Occupied Afghanistan), $2,560 (UK), $3,123 (Australia) and $6,096 (the US).

The Bush I & II Asian Holocaust death toll of 8 MILLION EXCEEDS that of the Jewish Holocaust, the WW2 Nazi German-inflicted Jewish Genocide (6 million deaths, 5 million murdered and 1 million dying from deprivation) and that of the largely UN-REPORTED, “forgotten”, man-made, British-inflicted Bengali Holocaust (Bengal Famine, Bengali Genocide) of World War 2 British India (4 million excess deaths).

Quantitative or qualitative denial of the Jewish Holocaust (6 million deaths comprising 5 million murdered and 1 million deprivation-related deaths) is punished in Austria by 10 years in prison and in some other countries by lengthy custodial sentences.

The Iraqis, Lebanese and Palestinians are overwhelmingly SEMITES by ETHNICITY and the Afghans have a Semitic-origin, Islamic CULTURE. What we are seeing is racist, ANTI-SEMITIC, Islamophobic Holocaust Denial driven by lying, racist, Bush-ite Mainstream media.

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